ECONOMETRIC MODELLING OF THE PASSENGER THROUGHPUT OF RUSSIAN CIVIL AVIATION
Abstract and keywords
Abstract (English):
The article is devoted to dynamics analysis and regression modelling of the civil aviation passenger throughput. There has been analyzed a relation between the passenger throughput and two independent variables: average income per capita and cost of economy class cabin flight per 1000 km. The authors drew substantial conclusions on the character of the relation between the dependent and explanatory variables, dynamics of air-passenger operations as well as the factors affecting the passenger throughput value. Based on constructed regression models a short-term forecast of explanatory variables and passenger throughput value has been made.

Keywords:
civil aviation, passenger throughput, passenger throughput structure, econometric modeling, forecasting.
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